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  #1  
Old 11-04-2006, 09:52 AM
riverruss riverruss is offline
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Default Whats the odds on this?

Was watching the 888.com UK Poker Open on TV last night.6 handed one player was dealt the following consecutive hands.
AA,AA,AA,AK never seen this run before live or online,whats the odds?
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  #2  
Old 11-04-2006, 09:54 AM
Robbie01 Robbie01 is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

I would say still better than winning the lottery [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #3  
Old 11-04-2006, 09:57 AM
limbosongs limbosongs is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

1/220 * 1/220 * 1/220 * (4/52 * 4/51)

what ever that is, i dont have a calc
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  #4  
Old 11-04-2006, 10:03 AM
FortunaMaximus FortunaMaximus is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

Uh... Was the show edited?
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  #5  
Old 11-04-2006, 10:11 AM
Fiksdal Fiksdal is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

This should go in the Probability forum under general gambling. I'll give it a shot here though.

Probability of this event = Prob of AA (0.452%) * Prob of AA * Prob of AA * Prob of AK(o or s) (2.112%)

This makes:
0.452% * 0.452% * 0.452% * 2.112% =

0,0000001956 %

This calculation assumes that he could have gotten the hands in any order, like AA, AA, AK, AA.
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  #6  
Old 11-04-2006, 10:14 AM
Fiksdal Fiksdal is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

[ QUOTE ]
Uh... Was the show edited?

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh yeah, it almost certainly was... Good point
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  #7  
Old 11-04-2006, 10:27 AM
riverruss riverruss is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

Not edited the actual hands were dealt in that order with no break in play,the player was "Miss UK" I forget her name & she did not raise any of them preflop,winning all 4 hands with flop raises & no showdowns.
Padraig Parkinson was the commentator & he said he'd never seen anything even close to this in all his Poker career.
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  #8  
Old 11-04-2006, 10:47 AM
Fiksdal Fiksdal is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

This Miss UK seems like a donk.
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  #9  
Old 11-04-2006, 11:12 AM
FortunaMaximus FortunaMaximus is offline
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Default Re: Whats the odds on this?

Rigged obv. She end up losing to 38dd?
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