Re: river valuebet, how much?
So instead of considering previous information such as table image, trends in play, etc, we are going to assume that our villian here would play the hand the exact same way that you would, right? So in essence, if he hit, he is going to lead the flop. If he was on a play with a made hand, he might have been looking to check raise the flop. If he was looking to c/r the flop, again, exactly how you would play the hand, and missed the opportunity because it was checked back to him, would you have led 80 into that pot on the turn? I think not...I think you would have led with a 1/2-3/4 pot size bet to either induce action or force the villian out. So your conventional thinking didn't work in this situation as it is listed, and would have failed to extract either max equity or the information needed to lay the hand down. Again, I think the hand was played very well given the circumstances, and again, My bet would be 300 on the river.
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