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#41
10-19-2006, 05:49 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
[ QUOTE ]
The Mets dominated the NL. [/ QUOTE ] Really? They had the best record, but I would not classify a .599 winning percentage as "domination". [ QUOTE ] The Cards squeaked into the playoffs. [/ QUOTE ] How many irrelevant things are you going to mention? How well were the Tigers doing down the stretch? How well did St Louis do against San Diego? [ QUOTE ] The Mets proved all year long that they are a better team than the Cardinals. [/ QUOTE ] This isn't about all year long. This is about tonight's game. Suppan has been very good in this series and has proven "big game" experience. Oliver Perez is not very good by major league standards and has no such experience. I think it's back to basics. When the clearly superior starting pitcher is +115, you've probably got a pretty good bet. I'm going with the Cardinals. And also (and this is for you Thremp) I am thoroughly convinced that the Cardinals have more heart than the Mets. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] 
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#42
10-19-2006, 05:56 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i think the mets aren't going to let perez go out there more than four innings unless he is dominating, and they will pull him at the first sign of trouble, so the damage of a costly blowup will be largely restricted. [/ QUOTE ] I like under's on Perez's prop bets because of this. Props seemed to be based on a 5-7 inning appearance where I feel he will put in possibly 4 since the entire staff is avail tonight and Traschel will probably get in there. I don't expect 2 at bats from Perez and only an offensive explosion might have him get 2. [/ QUOTE ] good call--i knew you posted +ev advice every once in awhile
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#43
10-19-2006, 05:56 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i think the mets aren't going to let perez go out there more than four innings unless he is dominating, and they will pull him at the first sign of trouble, so the damage of a costly blowup will be largely restricted. [/ QUOTE ] I like under's on Perez's prop bets because of this. Props seemed to be based on a 5-7 inning appearance where I feel he will put in possibly 4 since the entire staff is avail tonight and Traschel will probably get in there. I don't expect 2 at bats from Perez and only an offensive explosion might have him get 2. [/ QUOTE ] You're not alone in that thought. People pounded the under on Perez throwing 78.5 pitches. At one point there was a 23c arb available on it with 0.5Dimes.
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#44
10-19-2006, 06:13 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
wow...I just saw Suppan's career numbers against Delgado (6 for 32) and Green (3 for 29)...pretty good
just more info for everyone
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#45
10-19-2006, 06:16 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
I did bet on yes for Albert Pujols scoring a run at -122
Pujols is 3 for 6 with 2 HR verse Oliver Perez. He's scored in 6 of 10 games this playoff season. He was 5th in runs scored this year in the NL after leading the NL the previous 3 seasons.
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#49
10-19-2006, 06:28 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
[ QUOTE ]
I didn't see mt2r mention that and i never said naything about the bet itself, did you quote the wrong post or something? [/ QUOTE ] Just thought I'd toss that in. Maybe I am confused.
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#50
10-19-2006, 07:14 PM
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Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
LOL Jim Rome kept talking about "Oliver Twist" on his radio show today. I forget the other Oliver's he kept mentioning but it was kind of funny imo.
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