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#12
10-12-2006, 10:47 PM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
Just note the source, lord knows that will have some lean to it. Try Real Clear Politics [/ QUOTE ] They don't do polls, they just collect them. The polls were done by http://www.constituentdynamics.com/ and I don't know of any reason to believe their polls are are biased. 
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#13
10-12-2006, 10:49 PM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
Nor do you know of any reason to believe that poll is more accurate than others or an average of all recent ones.
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#14
10-12-2006, 11:11 PM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
I heard that both Kyl and Leach are gay, alcoholic, page-abusing pedophiles. Pass it on. [/ QUOTE ] lol, I laughed at that one. I don't know about the alcohol, but I did hear they are gay as they come. pass it on.
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#15
10-13-2006, 12:02 AM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
Nor do you know of any reason to believe that poll is more accurate than others or an average of all recent ones. [/ QUOTE ] Who said it was? Bias is different than error. What is this average of recent polls for the Leach race you refer to?
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#16
10-13-2006, 10:04 AM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Just note the source, lord knows that will have some lean to it. Try Real Clear Politics [/ QUOTE ] They don't do polls, they just collect them. The polls were done by http://www.constituentdynamics.com/ and I don't know of any reason to believe their polls are are biased. [/ QUOTE ] I know, but they give you all publically available ones, which is nice.
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#17
10-13-2006, 10:10 AM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
I heard that both Kyl and Leach arerepublicans Pass it on. [/ QUOTE ] fyp
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#19
10-13-2006, 11:11 AM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
The site doing the polls does not indicate any party affiliation, but most of their polls have Democrats doing very, very well. For example they have Patty Wetterling in Minnesota up 5 points when in previous polls she was down 11. They also have Dennis Hastert only up by 10 points over an opponent who spent less than $100K vs millions for Hastert.
I did notice they are including leans in their polls, which may be reported as undecided elsewhere. Not sure what to make of it. It could be biased polling, or it could be that since these polls were taken in the last few days that there is a wave of Democratic support that has not yet been picked up on earlier polls. We can only hope for the latter, I guess.
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#20
10-13-2006, 12:19 PM
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Re: Jim Leach trailing in his house race
[ QUOTE ]
The site doing the polls does not indicate any party affiliation, but most of their polls have Democrats doing very, very well. For example they have Patty Wetterling in Minnesota up 5 points when in previous polls she was down 11. They also have Dennis Hastert only up by 10 points over an opponent who spent less than $100K vs millions for Hastert. I did notice they are including leans in their polls, which may be reported as undecided elsewhere. Not sure what to make of it. It could be biased polling, or it could be that since these polls were taken in the last few days that there is a wave of Democratic support that has not yet been picked up on earlier polls. We can only hope for the latter, I guess. [/ QUOTE ] I think the latter is the case (Gallup recently had the generic congressional vote at 20+ Dem), but it might well be temporary. I live in Leach's district and this poll is the only nonpartisan poll for the district that I've seen.
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Linear Mode
