Formula for football point distribution?

jaym96822 · #1 10-12-2006, 12:29 AM

I see a lot of posters quoting statistics like, "4% of NFL games end with a margin of 7 points". Is there an online location for the distribution patterns?

Performify · #2 10-12-2006, 12:31 AM

Check the NFL Betting ebook linked in the FAQ...

jaym96822 · #3 10-12-2006, 12:43 AM

Thanks for responding, I guess I didn't ask the question properly. I've looked at the EBook (great work), but I wasn't sure where the raw data came from.

I assuming you didn't chart the finish of every NFL game (did you?) and that you got the data from some website.

Is there a website that has that data available?

Performify · #4 10-12-2006, 12:54 AM

Yeah, its done by taking the data from the scores of games. You can get that data a lot of places. Here are three:

http://www.databasefootball.com/

http://www.phys.utk.edu/sorensen/cfr...L_History.html

http://www.goldsheet.com

jaym96822 · #5 10-12-2006, 12:55 AM

Thank you, very helpful.

Performify · #6 10-12-2006, 12:58 AM

Also - not trying to take credit for it - I didn't write the eBook, RJP did. I'm just hosting it (and pointing people to it).

rjp · #7 10-12-2006, 01:26 AM

Look here:

http://www.jt-sw.com/football/boxes/index.nsf

or

http://www.masseyratings.com/data.php