NL25 - Top 2 against SUPERNIT

Vammakala · #1 10-01-2006, 10:16 AM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

BB ($10.70)
UTG ($24.65)
MP ($14.75)
CO ($31.75)
Hero ($32.80)
SB ($57.15)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $1, MP calls $1, CO calls $1, Hero calls $1, 2 folds.

Flop: ($4.35) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG bets $2.5, MP folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $8, UTG raises to $15, Hero raises to $22, UTG raises to $36.15, Hero calls $1.65.

Okay so here's the thrill, this guy was 10/1/2.7 after 100 hand sample. What's the line to take here. If he has AA or KK here, then so be it? Should I consider even folding rightout PF? I figured RR in this spot is probably bad since he's been very very tight, but can I expect to get any value here?

Even though that was supergood flop, I felt very uncomfortable playing this hand.

Sir Winalot · #2 10-01-2006, 10:23 AM

I think you're either WB to AA-KK or splitting with AK on the flop. I don't think he can have much else.

pokerchap · #3 10-01-2006, 10:24 AM

Fold PF? so your basically saying his range is only KK-AA? i don't think so. i usually fold to his 3 bet.

cambraceres · #4 10-01-2006, 10:30 AM

definitely do not fold pf. Your play was fine IMO, your sample size wasnt so big that you could define his holding to the AA/KK/AK group. You are going to lose this hand alot, and your variance will go up by allowing the hand to unfold as it did, but this is still a profitable spot for these stakes.

Cam

Jigsaws · #5 10-01-2006, 10:33 AM

I think you can fold to the min3bet. What's this guy SN?

BSman77 · #6 10-01-2006, 10:33 AM

wierd. with those numbers he probably has a set or aq of clubs or ak too I assume. given this, maybe u could play for pot control on flop turn and river. I could never fold flop here, even if it is the right play. As played seems fine.

Vammakala · #7 10-01-2006, 10:35 AM

NozzeM

And yea, it was a split.

pubbie · #8 10-01-2006, 10:45 AM

grunch [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Well, the 1% pfr he makes should usually be AA/KK. I would fold when he RRs to 15, but then I wouldnt have played the hand this way. I would be more apt to call with all PP that are not AA/KK hoping to spike a set vs his over-pair, SCs if hand becomes bigger than a pair, big one-gappers hoping for the two-pair or boat and much less apt to call with any hand containing an Ace or King. These hands, when made, will get his whole stack (good implied odds), flushy boards will prolly make him fold quickly. The thing is Ive played supernitty a lot and after a loooong while of folding everything QQ or JJ start looking like aces, but theres no way he would play QQ,JJ like that on the flop, he has the obvious set.