Political Prop Bet-Lieberman to win re-election.

[AvivaSimplex]

The 8 point lead in the link is the average of the most recent 5 polls. In the last 2 of those polls, Lieberman was ahead by only 2 or 3 points. That site didn't include the one taken today. This most recent poll pokes a hole in the idea that Lamont's got momentum.

[Utah]

[ QUOTE ]
The 8 point lead in the link is the average of the most recent 5 polls. In the last 2 of those polls, Lieberman was ahead by only 2 or 3 points. That site didn't include the one taken today. This most recent poll pokes a hole in the idea that Lamont's got momentum.

[/ QUOTE ]It is not smart to bet against joementum. Easy win here.

[Skipbidder]

I've stopped betting politics. I'm certainly a net loser. Can't stop betting with my heart. If I were betting this race, I'd be betting against Lieberman (at the listed line). Therefore, you should all take your available gambling capital and go bet FOR Lieberman, because I'll be wrong.

[AvivaSimplex]

I knew there was a Joementum joke in there somewhere...

[scorer]

what book has these lines

[Jibba]

Bodog.

[fnurt]

I've been following this race pretty closely, including the multiple polls which have been all over the map on this since back before the primary.

I think -180 is a +EV bet, but a smaller edge than you think, probably not enough to justify tying your money up for the next 6 weeks. Particularly since so much can change in politics.

[sportsgambler735]

[ QUOTE ]
I think -180 is a +EV bet, but a smaller edge than you think, probably not enough to justify tying your money up for the next 6 weeks. Particularly since so much can change in politics.

[/ QUOTE ]

Like betting 80 brazzzzzzzillion dollars and paying everyone $100 to vote for him? I figure you'd only actually pay like $400 bc of voter turnout/ state size