55 w/ a straight draw

cabdo · #1 09-24-2006, 03:44 PM

1/2 NL Live
Villan 1 -1 CO (110)
Villan 2 CO (250)
Hero Button (275)

2 limpers to villian 1, who raises to $12. Villian #2 calls. Hero on the button w/ 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero calls. limpers fold.

Pot $42
Flop
2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Villan 1 bets $30, villian 2 folds,
Hero?

br549007 · #2 09-24-2006, 03:50 PM

Fold, looks like over pair.

orange · #3 09-24-2006, 03:54 PM

any reads?

cabdo · #4 09-24-2006, 03:55 PM

Not to much on reads, he'd just sat down, and he'd raised about 4 pots pre-flop in 2 orbits an had a contination bet on 75% of flops

Finite_Risk · #5 09-24-2006, 04:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Fold, looks like over pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

Weaksauce!

You don't think AK believes he's ahead here? I'm at least calling this and given his short stack I might put him in here

BWillie · #6 09-24-2006, 04:18 PM

Couldn't you mini-raise to see if he has a higher pocket pair than you? Something like $50-60 ?

Finite_Risk · #7 09-24-2006, 04:19 PM

Please review stack sizes

kitaristi0 · #8 09-24-2006, 04:55 PM

Pretty sure I'm shoving this.

Dan Bitel · #9 09-24-2006, 04:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Pretty sure I'm shoving this.

[/ QUOTE ]

cabdo · #10 09-24-2006, 05:04 PM

In this situation against AK I'm a 85% favorite, against an overpair besides AA or 66 its 60-40.

Therefore the only hands I'm really scared of here are a set , or AA or 66, therefore I do not believe I can fold this hand here.

If I push, how often do I get a call from AK (keep in mind its a short stack) Opponent would be getting 2.5:1 to make the call, and w/ those odds could I get some overpairs, maybe 77 or 88 to fold?