200nl Set on straight board vs TAG

[Keepitsimple]

Over 200 hands we havent really battled. He 3-bets me sometimes. I steal his blinds sometimes. The usual.

I have him at 28/20/3. He cbets 100% of the time over this sample. Im playing a bit tighter at 20/15.

The plan is to bet/fold river.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($180.70)
BB ($224.42)
Hero ($416.96)
MP ($244.23)
CO ($145)
Button ($188.23)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1. Hero posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero (poster) calls $4.

Flop: ($13) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets $7</font>, Hero calls $7.

Turn: ($27) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $21</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $42</font>, Hero calls $21.

River: ($111) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $75</font>

[smartalecc5]

Im calling a shove. He coould be semibluffing the turn alot here.

[Keepitsimple]

Btw, the converter is [censored] up Im BB NOT UTG.

[JonnyCosMo]

Against some players I think a shove on this river looks suspicious enough to get a call from something along the lines of TT -&gt; QQ. The board is so draw heavy on the turn but the river is a pretty big brick so I dont think bet / fold is a better line of thinking than trying to extract max value here. If you had the image for it, you could make this shove and get paid from a wide range of hands, otherwise the $75 vbet is nice.