#31
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Re: ($60 turbo) Now I know what rape feels like (pxf video)
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[ QUOTE ] my brain hurts when i think about someone being offered this calling edge when they are down to 2 big blinds. [/ QUOTE ] Lets say I know that confeitor has KQ and he will call if I shove. I am risking 1010 to win 1835, and have a huge stack with a shortstack on the bubbel (obviously a very profitable situation). This is 1.81:1 odds, or I need to be > 35.5% to win the pot for it to be +EV. http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2083387 pokenum -h kh qc - 6h 4c Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qc Kh 1096907 64.06 602629 35.19 12768 0.75 0.644 4c 6h 602629 35.19 1096907 64.06 12768 0.75 0.356 In other words, even if I know he has two big cards, will always call, and the suits match exactly it's still a +EV shove. The BB is basically always folding and the SB is folding too much, I am positive. [/ QUOTE ] i guess your right. as long as he is not calling more than 60% than its +ev. i think i was looking at it from the wrong perspective. shorties always have pretty good pot odds for a call but they still never call enough. |
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