SnG Bubble play

wtf5 · #1 09-15-2006, 05:21 PM

Hey,

I created a model on bubble play in SnGs which i would like the forum's all-knowing feedback on. The Premise is that once i hit 10 BBs i push with a top 40% hand or fold. I would like you guys so see if this is a 1) realistic model 2) my calcs are correct 3) your general thoughts.

Premise:

Blinds are 50/100

4 Players
Prize Distribution 50, 30 20
Bubble - I push with top 40% of hands

Big Stack 7,500
Me 1,000
Medium 3,500
Short 1,500

Hands the people will call with

Big Stack Calls 33%
1 Medium 10%
1 Short 20%

Me UTG
Short CO
Medium SB 50
Big BB 100

Call % * Showdown Winning % Pot Size Equity
Short Calls 8.83% 2250 198.657

Medium Calls 3.75% 2100 78.8466

Big Calls 15.85% 2050 324.92295

No Call 37% 1150 425.5

Total Equity 1027.92655

Total equity > starting stack so there its a positive expectation play. Thanks for you time.

wtf5 · #2 09-15-2006, 05:22 PM

damn it...i can't put spaces in between the titles for the table..

The table should be split into 3 columns...first the % of calls * my winning percentage against his range...

2nd the pot size

3rd the equity (pot size * first column)

sorry... :P

DaN_05 · #3 09-15-2006, 05:51 PM

My general thoughts? Just buy SNGPT, save yourself a lot of time, and pwn. Bubble play depends on SO much more than whether or not you have a top 40% hand with less than 10xBB.