Is this a fold against a strong opponent?

[wazz]

SB is reasonably tight and I've not seen him make any unconventional plays. Best case scenario he's got a hand like the same straight draw with me plus the nut flush draw, but this felt like my straight outs weren't very live.

Party Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
10 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $200
UTG+1: $139.95
UTG+2: $166.86
Hero: $258.81
MP2: $264
MP3: $394.20
CO: $200
Button: $199
SB: $209.91
BB: $196

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is MP1 with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, CO (poster) checks, Button calls, SB calls, BB (poster) checks.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($16, 8 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $15.2</font>, BB calls, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $55</font>, 3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $195.4</font>, BB folds, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $140.4 returned to SB.

Results:
Final pot: $141.2

[RoundTower]

I would shove now, raising is a mistake if you are planning to fold to a 3 bet.

[Silent A]

Even against JhTh96 your equity is 0.39 and against 9h7h76 it's 0.364.

There's $280 sitting in the pot, it'll cost you $140 to call and SB only has $13 left over.

The equity you need to justify a push is : (140+13)/(280+140+13+13) = 153/446 = 0.343

In terms of EV = .364*446 - 153 = +9

This is the WORST case scenario. Against 69xx with a flush draw youe equity is closer to 0.45 and your EV is +48.

[wazz]

Ok, bad fold then.

[ratholeusoul]

You got the answer from your reraise, fold. I'd just call on the flop tho.

[JerseyTom]

If you're going to play this hand, you can't fold this flop ever.

If you can't shove after SB 3-bets, then just call the flop (BB is giving you some overlay), but I think pushing is better.

Tom

[donkey]

wtf, you really folded? is this a joke?

[Marnixvdb]

you can't fold this

[CallYNotRaise06]

after raising, you have to go to the felt. (a call on the flop is not bad here.)

[mosch]

I'd say "I can't believe any of you would fold", but then I thought about all the weak-tight nits I've sat with, and realized "oh yeah... those guys would fold."

Poooooooooooooooooooosh! (or just call instead of raising.)