Easy bonus clearing with $540 EV at Mansion Keno (after Steelers bet)

[scorer]

live chat spinning globe

[AlexHoops]

Ouch, I feel for you. I was down abt 100 with 6000 left to clear. 1 hr later down 600. I havn't hit >4 evens in my last 16 series'.

[NSchandler]

So I introduced my gf to casino whoring about a week and a half ago and she's been running pretty hot.

I want to cash in on her luckbox so I decide that she's gonna keno it up like myself and we'll split winnings to reduce variance. She agrees.

Right now I have about $7K left and I'm at $2542.90, or +$442.

She's gone through about $3K of WR and has lost almost $500.

Wtf? Talk about a -EV gf, sheesh.

[Jibba]

13,098.59 remaining. $2,100 down to $1,596 at the moment. Slightly nervous since I really haven't hit any big win streaks at all. But it's all good ... ty to EC.

[Perseus]

My money was not credited either...waiting to talk to chat now.

[hungrydawg007]

Wouldn't doing it at .05/5 reduce the variance by a lot? Yeah it would take longer but if you set it on autoplay with that program it wouldn't matter. How much would the EV go down?

[wax42]

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I just cleared the 20x WR, the $1000 is supposed to show up in "Bonus Balance", right? My Bonus Balance is 0. Did it take time for the $1000 to show up in Bonus Balance for you guys?

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Once you clear the 20x you must wager $1042 or whatever your bonus was 1x in any game. After you clear that, the bonus should be auto-credited to your account.

If you did that and have the same problem as whataretard Mansion may of just caught on. If thats the case, I think wacken should enter the witness protection program [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]I know you have to wager through the bonus 1x after you do the 20x WR, but people were saying the $1000 would show up in Bonus Balance after the 20x, and then be transferred over to the regular balance as you cleared that final 1x. Unless I misunderstood. So I am a little bit worried that my bonus balance is 0.

[/ QUOTE ]OK, I had to talk to support, they "approved" the bonus, and now the $1000 is in my Bonus Balance, and is being transferred over to my regular balance at a 1x rate.

[NSchandler]

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Wouldn't doing it at .05/5 reduce the variance by a lot? Yeah it would take longer but if you set it on autoplay with that program it wouldn't matter. How much would the EV go down?

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Can't go lower than $.1

[thing85]

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Sorry, i know we shouldn't wake sleeping dogs, but i have had a conversation with the online help chat thing. They send me the conversation by email so i will use it if needed:


MANSION Paul N:
RE: Hi there, i see in the T&C the following line: "MANSION reserves the right
to revoke or nullify promotion entitlements to players who appear to participate
in strategies intending to profit from promotional bonuses " Could you explain
that to me. is getting a profit not the whole idea behind a bonus ?

MANSION Paul N:
hello

Wacken:
hi

MANSION Paul N:
If the strategy is beyond the terms and conditions of the promotion

MANSION Paul N:
for example ' duplicate accounts'

Wacken:
ok, but playing my wagering requirement in a game that offers a positive EV for
the bonus after clearing the WR will not be a problem ?

MANSION Paul N:
ev?

Wacken:
Expected Value, you're in the gambling bussines ! [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

Wacken:
For example i have to wager 20.000 for the 1000$ bonus. I find a game with 2%
house advantage and thus lose 800 on average while wagering the 20k and have an
expected profit of 200

MANSION Paul N:
Different countries different terminology, just wanted to be sure. No problem
playing your wagering requirement in a game that offers a positive EV for the
bonus after clearing the WR.

Wacken:
Thank you

MANSION Paul N:
thank you for the chat

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were you dropped as a child? thank god for natural selection

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Honestly, the 2+2 bonus forum needs to start performing IQ tests before allowing individuals to register and read posts. It hurts me to read this CS chat.

[AlexHoops]

I'm not a math whiz, can anybody help me out with this calculation. What are the odds, if betting even every time, to not have greater than 5 evens come up in 28 series in a row?