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  #1  
Old 09-08-2006, 04:22 PM
machine machine is offline
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Default NL25-AQs line check

I love these hands but was i too aggressive? with the overlay right to push? Anyone re-raise pre-flop here, i just feel im re-raising so often lately but then i guess the down points which come due to harder decisions will be made up by my big hands being paid off.

Villan was raising 9% of hands

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $21.75
UTG+1: $26.05
MP1: $19.50
MP2: $74.70
MP3: $18.30
CO: $23.60
Button: $9.90
Hero: $24.75
BB: $52

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 raises to $1</font>, 4 folds, Hero calls, BB calls.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($3, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3</font>, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 raises to $8</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in $23.75</font>
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  #2  
Old 09-08-2006, 05:09 PM
kslghost kslghost is offline
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Default Re: NL25-AQs line check

Looks fine on a FR table.
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  #3  
Old 09-08-2006, 05:35 PM
InternetJunky InternetJunky is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 292
Default Re: NL25-AQs line check

As pointed out in another thread, you push these draws to maximize fold equity. The problem is that I don't think you have any fold equity here. Villian either has an overpair or a set, so is likely calling your push.

That being said:
[ QUOTE ]

Board: 6h 8d 2d
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.9917 % 42.99% 00.00% { AdQd }
Hand 2: 57.0083 % 57.01% 00.00% { AA, KcKd, QQ-88, 66, 22 }


[/ QUOTE ]
Still looks +EV here.
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  #4  
Old 09-08-2006, 05:53 PM
MAceJas MAceJas is offline
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Posts: 58
Default Re: NL25-AQs line check

hmm...this is an interesting one.

You're out of position, so I like the call PF.

You are a 2:1 dog against AA (although we have no reason to put him on AA), you are near 1:1 against KK and QQ, and are slight favorite against JJ, TT.

I guess I don't see the value in donking, I think I'd rather see a c/r. If he does have an overpair, which is likely, let's make him see you demonstrate strength with a c/r, rather than enabling him to make a raise for value. If you want to really put the pressure, you can get it all-in with a c/r all-in. Give him really poor odds to call.

Since he's short-stacked, he's really only calling $10.50 against a $24.50 pot. You are giving him 2.3 to 1 odds on a hand where he's like either at 2:1 favorite or a 1:1.

If you c/r, the odds are a bit different. On the turn, the pot will be $3, he will likely bet $3, you now raise to $18.50, putting him all-in. In this scenario, he's now calling $15.50 to win $21.50 or around 1.38 to 1 odds.

Just my thoughts.
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