top set makes a boat and calls the river

[chopchoi]

This is actually a $20 limit SNG, but since the SNG section deals exclusively with NL SNGs, I figured I'd post it here.

Limper has't played a pot yet, so I read him as pretty tight.

Level 2, blinds 15/30.

PF, hero is MP1 with KK, 1 limper. Hero raises, MP2 3 bets, MP 3 calls, limper calls, hero raises, everyone calls.

Flop: K, 6, 8. limper bets, hero raises, mp2 calls, mp3 folds, limper calls.

Turn: 8. limper checks, hero bets, mp2 calls, limper raises, hero 3 bets, mp2 folds, limper caps, hero calls.

River: x. limper bets, hero calls.

How's the river?

[JJH3984]

Bad.

[chopchoi]

why?

[Allday Everyday]

I'd cap this river without thinking twice. That is, unless the river x was an 8. I'd do this in cash games and tournaments.

Sometimes you'll lose to the pocket 8s, but more likely the limper has K8 or 66 or even 6 8. He might even have much less.

[chopchoi]

One other thing that may or may not be relevant: I had already won a pot shoing down KK.

[Allday Everyday]

[ QUOTE ]
One other thing that may or may not be relevant: I had already won a pot shoing down KK.

[/ QUOTE ]

So, win another! Cap the river and make it a big one.

[JJH3984]

[ QUOTE ]
why?

[/ QUOTE ]

You have the second nuts. I can think of a bunch of hands that you beat that play this way and only one that you don't beat. Cap the river. If there were no cap I'd go like 7 or 8 bets.

[KurtSF]

Gotta raise that, eh?

I mean, yeah, he might have 88, but its much more likely he's got A8 or K8 or 86s or 66. Did he hit a flush and is pushing it into a paired board? I gotta think you're ahead of his range. Maybe you can call his 3-bet, but with top house I'm going all the way.

$0.02.

[Jasper_C]

Are you really that afraid of quads? If you are then you better have more of a read then watching for 15 to 20 minutes in the first level or two of a limit SNG. Otherwise just raise for the extreme value here, only hand that beats you would be 88 unless the river makes a possible straight flush or a 6 to make quad 6s possible. You will have the best hand almost 99% of the time, punnish the possible AK, K8, K6, 86 or even AA. Remember folding for 15 min could just be cold cards.

[BenA]

You've got to be kidding me. At least let him 3-bet your before you put him on specifically 88. Cap.