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#1
09-05-2006, 02:48 AM
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$11 speed on the bubble.
Villain is a straight forward player who at least has a decent hand. Can you make a case for not going all in here?
Blinds 200-400 PartyPoker Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com CO (t8821) Button (t4434) Hero (t2430) BB (t4315) Preflop: Hero is in SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="red">CO raises to t1200</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="red"> 
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#2
09-05-2006, 02:52 AM
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Re: $11 speed on the bubble.
No.
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#3
09-05-2006, 02:52 AM
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Re: $11 speed on the bubble.
[ QUOTE ]
Villain is a straight forward player who at least has a decent hand. Can you make a case for not going all in here? [/ QUOTE ] You are already sure the villain has atleast a decent hand + no FE could be a case for not going all in. Of course, I'm going broke with AQs here unless I think villain is a rock.
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#5
09-05-2006, 07:08 AM
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Re: $11 speed on the bubble.
Push here with AQs, because shortstack.
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#6
09-05-2006, 08:24 AM
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Re: $11 speed on the bubble.
FOLD!
Villain is pot commited since he almost gets 4:1(he will call and have no fold equity). So the decision is calling an all-in on the bubble. Since Villain have a decent hand I assume his HD is somewhat around: 44+,A7s+,A9o+,KJs+. This makes it a EV- to raise all-in/call his declare of all-in using SNGPT. You will need JJ+ to call(asuming the HD above is somewhat correct). If you put him on a wider range and a pretty loose range, like:22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs. It gets really borderline with a small EV+ and you can call with:99+,AKo,AQs+. I would fold with the first range and looking to push a wide range of hands one of the two coming hands to come, where I can find some fold equity. Or if you could put him on the wider range of hands a call is marginell EV+ and the correct decision IMO.
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#7
09-05-2006, 08:32 AM
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Re: $11 speed on the bubble.
I shove
You say he is a straightforward player with at least a hand, but considdering his big stack, what is considered "a hand" in his postion ? Any ace ? Being the shortstack in dire need of some chips I'm willing to get my chips in right now. I'd say it's at least a coinflip, and since I think you don't even have much FE left against the other 2 players with their average stacks ... shove
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