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#1
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No read on opponent. I would think he would re-raise with AA, KK, QQ & probably A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] preflop. I put him on AQ, KQ or QT with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] being an outside possiblity that I didn't factor in my decision. I also thought of TT, but that's not likely. I assume with the hand range I put him on means it's an automatic call?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx BB ($31.40) UTG ($9.05) MP ($28.65) Hero ($25.55) Button ($26.65) SB ($24.75) Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10. UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB (poster) calls $1.15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls $1. Flop: ($4) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4</font>, UTG folds, SB goes all-in, Hero ??? |
#2
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My read is villian is protecting his AQ, KK, or AA. Could be a better flush draw, but I doubt it. You are 33% to make your flush. Fold.
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#3
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If he has AQ, KK, or AA that means that I still have 3 jacks and 2 tens plus the 9 flush outs. Also, I don't see why you don't think he'd re-raise with AA or KK preflop.
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#4
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[ QUOTE ]
My read is villian is protecting his AQ, KK, or AA. Could be a better flush draw, but I doubt it. You are 33% to make your flush. Fold. [/ QUOTE ] If villian has one of these hands, hero has 2 chances to hit 15 outs making him a slight favorite in the hand. With the dead money in the pot already, hero is getting about 1.5 to 1 odds. According to your analysis, this is an easy call. I still make this call. Occasionally you will run into TT or 44 and that will suck. QT doesn't leave you in a good spot either since a J won't even help you. I do think you see AQ, KQ, QJ enough times to warrant your 1.5-1 odds. I call here. EDIT - Sorry, I miscounted too fast - 14 outs instead of 15 above. Still the odds warrant a call there. |
#5
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Apparently I was too hasty in my response.
Good discussion of a very similar hand here http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...e=1#Post4519619 |
#6
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Btw, thank you both for your replies. I'd greatly appreciate one or two more opinions on this hand. Thanks in advance.
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#7
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auto-call
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#8
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Thanks for the replies. My read on his hand range was correct. He had QT and I didn't improve.
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