20/40 limit live

[chaos]

And obviously a bet is best if he will lay down a non-nut flush.

[n1bd]

[ QUOTE ]

Your opponent is more likely to be playing a set or two pair than drawing for a flush, and since you have one of the flush cards in your own hand, I think in about a 3 to 2 ratio. That is, after the turn, I think your opponent is about one and a half (actually 1.6) times more likely to have a set or two pair than a flush draw.
(3018/1874=1.61 are my actual simulation numbers)

...

Without the one spade in your own hand, it's very close, (2439/2271), but you probably still usually do better by betting.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hi Buzz,

How do you get these numbers/how do you run these simulations?

[Buzz]

[ QUOTE ]
How do you get these numbers/how do you run these simulations?

[/ QUOTE ]Hi n1bd - I guess you're asking in general how I get values I use in posts.

Different ways. Sometimes it's a straight probability calculation. Other times it involves "counting."

I'll run a simulation if I can figure out a way to make that work. Sometimes I'll run more than one simulation. I mainly use Wilson's Turbo Omaha High/Low for the simulations, but sometimes I use twodimes.net.

There are lots of different methods involved. Sometimes it's a matter of stumbling upon something that can be calculated or simulated - some insight that works.

I'm not a mathematician, just a poker duffer looking for a way to have the odds on my side, just a truth seeker.

Buzz