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  #1  
Old 08-29-2006, 10:32 PM
greed greed is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Bloomington, IL
Posts: 132
Default TPTK vs. River Bet

In this hand villain is 40/13/5 or something over around 60 hands. He also has a went to show down of 17%, although the sample size is small.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($50.85)
Button ($49.21)
SB ($70.40)
BB ($19.60)
UTG ($62.05)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, Button calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($6.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5</font>, Button calls $5, BB folds.

Turn: ($16.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10</font>, Button calls $10.

River: ($36.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $21</font>, Hero ...

I really hate the way this hand has played out and I am not sure what to do on the river. First, this player is pretty aggro. He just calls the flop, so I think he probably either drawing or slow playing a monster since the flop isn't very drawy. I should probably have bet more like $12 on the turn. Anyway, the river is a pretty bad card. The only draw I would think he ever has here would be T8, and that completes it. It also completes a backdoor FD so if he called on the flop with the Ks and then gets the FD on the turn, he just got there. So all that along with his low WTSD and slow aggression makes me uncertain what to do. Should I just fold the river here?
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  #2  
Old 08-29-2006, 10:44 PM
orange orange is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: University of NE Lincoln/Omaha
Posts: 19,438
Default Re: TPTK vs. River Bet

callll the river. bet more on turn.
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  #3  
Old 08-30-2006, 03:35 AM
DaveRockNo20 DaveRockNo20 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Quebec, my english socks!!!
Posts: 420
Default Re: TPTK vs. River Bet

you played this hand well, its an automatique call on the river!!!
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  #4  
Old 08-30-2006, 04:04 AM
kslghost kslghost is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Cal (6-4) We suck
Posts: 1,833
Default Re: TPTK vs. River Bet

Against an agggroooo villain like this, it's definitely a call. No way you can expect to win every time, but this guy should be an ATM. WTSD17% means nothing because he's likely bluffing a lot of hands to keep from a showdown.
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