$3/$6 no limit. AK facing all in bet....

[Ellsworth T]

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...why not call with roughly on the whole winning somewhere give or take~ 50% of the time, splitting 20%, and losing 30% of the time?

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If that were true, I'd have insta called. However, there is NO way I am winning 50% and splitting 20%.

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Krusty, I see the error of my ways. I originally meant to say you are splitting 50% of the time and winning 20%.


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Call and turn a K to be on the safe side [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Gambool

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[yad]

I think the flop is not quite drawy enough for a bad player to push with AA here. I think if it was KQJ with two diamonds, or JT9 twotone or something you will often see a bad player just open-push with AA. But on this flop, I think you're winning more than you're losing.

[mak15]

this looks exactly like AA, i'd fold.

[Spencer C]

yeah, obviously this guy's got balls where are yours? make the call you've got a real good hand... also, why no re-raise preflop? i see no scenario where taking it to $100 doesn't make your life a hundred times easier

[T-God]

Pretty easy fold IMO.

[Dan BRIGHT]

The margin of donk with this villain is very high. kawlit

[thedustbustr]

i love how all the weaktights are giving him a perfect tag range of everything beating us and nothing we beat.

this guy probably has TT-KK and is sick of getting overcarded.

a 3.7 agg factorover a vpip of 55 is maniacally aggressive. you cannot fold TPTK to him.

[NT!]

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The margin of donk with this villain is very high. kawlit

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YES it was about time for Margin of Donk to make an appearance in this thread

NT

[Dan BRIGHT]

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The margin of donk with this villain is very high. kawlit

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YES it was about time for Margin of Donk to make an appearance in this thread

NT

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Despite getting almost 1:1 on our money, with it factored in, id say we are getting closer to maybe even 2:1.

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[jlkrusty]

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does having the A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] sway anyone's fold decision to a call decision? The times we split, he's still freerolling us at least 1/3 of the time.

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Hopefully it's obvious that I insta call with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

However, if I hold AKo with the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], I probably fold even more. The reason is that if I hold the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], then it's less likely my opponent is going for a flush draw since he himself does not have the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. By eliminating some of the probability of a flush draw, the chances of him holding AA automatically go up (those percentage points have to be filled somewhere). And, his chances of AA go up a lot more than what you gain by the chance of you hitting runner-runner nut flush.