KQ Two Pair vs Obvious River Flush

[g29w]

Villian is 43/20/1. I'm pretty sure he has better than top two here given how fast he bet the river. Do I still call since it's $20 more to win $80? I guess it's a straight forward question since it's 4:1 odds and I think he has me beat here higher than 75% of the time = Fold. What do you think? And no, I don't think he would bet the river with TPTK or a lower two pair.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($124.22)
Hero ($50.90)
UTG ($54.30)
MP ($50)
CO ($157.49)
Button ($31.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, SB (poster) completes, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.5</font>, SB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $9</font>, SB calls $6.

Turn: ($22) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, SB calls $20.

River: ($62) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $20</font>, Hero calls $19.90 (All-In).

Final Pot: $101.90

[gimmetheloot]

i think you answered your own question duder.

if he is willing to draw that hard and he will never bet here with 2p or bluff at it, then u have to fold. I dont know if you can be over 80% certain here, but, if you feel you are, fold it. Against a norm villain i call.

[g29w]

Oops, I meant 80%. Not 1 out of 4, but 1 out of 5.

[bkar824]

I don't think he believes he can bluff you off this pot, you bet strong 2 streets in a row, it's ridiculous for him to think he can bluff you. Personally, I would curse at my computer and make the call, thinking I was beat. Probably laughing at this idiot's turn call if he had a flush. I'm almost positive I don't have the discipline to fold to a 20 dollar bet here. If you had more in your stack, and the bet was say...60, what would you have done?

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think he believes he can bluff you off this pot, you bet strong 2 streets in a row, it's ridiculous for him to think he can bluff you. Personally, I would curse at my computer and make the call, thinking I was beat. Probably laughing at this idiot's turn call if he had a flush. I'm almost positive I don't have the discipline to fold to a 20 dollar bet here. If you had more in your stack, and the bet was say...60, what would you have done?

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT