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  #21  
Old 08-07-2006, 06:39 PM
CrMenace CrMenace is offline
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Default Re: KQs, River bluff in large pot

*grunch*

preflop: looks good. You've got a very strong hand here- good raise.

flop: You've got to be a little worried about the donk bet here. Unless he's a total joker, he probably didn't call two cold preflop with just a 7 or a 4, so I'd be wary of a set, or at least an overpair. Compounding the issue is CO behind, who may raise. That would make it 21.5:2 for us which is not enough for our ~3 (generous) outs. I would probably call thinking it's 50/50 that he has over cards rather than an overpair, but folding isn't bad either.

turn: OK, it is now clear that CO has overs, UTG is strange. Could still be overpair or OESD. Probably not a set.

river: Jeez, I doubt you're ahead and I further doubt that you'll get three people to fold despite the decent scare card. UTG didn't fold to two cold pre-flop. How likely is he to fold now?
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  #22  
Old 08-07-2006, 06:46 PM
Paxosmotic Paxosmotic is offline
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Default Re: KQs, River bluff in large pot

The only card that folds all three on the river is a scare card, and we can't bet a scare card here. Tied to the check.
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