WSOP ME Pocket Ducks Day 2

[bruce]

I'm anxiously awaiting Day 3, but here's an interesting hand
where inflection point play motivated my action. Good or bad play, let me know.

Blinds are 400/800/100.

All fold to me in the hijack and I raise to t2300 with pocket ducks with a t20000 stack. I'm relatively new to the table, having played for around 25 minutes. Raised once and folded to a reraise. Won with pocket Queens around five minutes earlier when a shorty pushed my raise.

Anyway button reraises to t6000. I have him slightly covered. Button moved to the table a few minutes ago.

It's folded to me and I take around 20 seconds to act and push.

Comments appreciated.

Bruce

[timex]

I fold here.

How slightly is slightly, does he have like 19k, or like 17k?
Even if he has 20k chips, he is getting just over 2-1 to call your reraise, and his range has you smoked

[locutus2002]

He's getting 2:1 and should call especially because he's short and you have along way to go til the end of the day. You are behind against his range.

I'd call and push a favorable flop except a 2.

[bruce]

He has around t18000.

Mathematically unless he's reraising with air he should call.

But the majority of people playing in the WSOP ME don't want to risk their tournament life unless they have a real hand.

Bruce

[bruce]

I suppose a stop n go has some merit, but I viewed this more as a preflop fold or a push. By pushing I'm hoping he doesn't want to risk his tournament life on a nonpremium hand. I don't know how to factor that into a mathematical formula.

Bruce

[jason75]

Just let it go . . . .

I don't hate the push, but you've got plenty of chips (M of 9-10), seems a little early to RR over the top with 22 given he'll have just put 1/3 of his stack in.

I don't see a lot of FE here, maybe I'm missing something. I think the only hands you pick off here are resteals with nothing.

[WSOPChump]

i dont think its correct to assume the button is weak if you have not played with him for awhile first. also since he is new to the table he is less likely to be restealing, since, it would be basically impossible to have a read on yoru play.

but your kind of short so pushing might be better than folding. i would not say its good or bad. either decision was probably acceptable.

[locutus2002]

when you push there is 42K in the pot because of the overlay, you have ~16K equity in the pot because you are no more than 38% in the hand, so you are giving up 1.5K in equity when you push to win 10K. Villain needs to fold ~15% of his hands to make you whole. If he reraises you with ~125 hands (which is pretty loose for a default tag player in the ME IMO) then he will have to lay down kq getting 2:1 in the pot which would be a mistake, or thereabout.

[bruce]

To make a long story short he folded and I increased my chip stack around 30%.

My take is unless playing against very skilled opponents, regardless of what the math says, most amateurs do not want to risk busting with anything but a premium hand.

I'm further told by my network of top tournament player friends that plays like this are routine plays. They are highly situational and can work if executed proparily and if not overdone.

Even though I picked up the pot, still unclear if this was a wise play or overly risky play by me.

Bruce

[multious]

I think it was an excellent play. This line or folding right away are the best.