mistake preflop. How do I play from here?

[fourpin]

I messed up! I should have raised here preflop but I missed the button. Help me evaluate whether to bet out or try for a check raise?

In reviewing my play a fellow 2+2er suggested betting the flop because "I have no reason to believe anyone will bet, and letting it get checked through would be a disaster".

I did not agree because if I bet out I really don't have a good idea of where I am. If I am called around I dont know who has the flush and is waiting to check raise me. If I get raised I dont know if they are representing the flush/flush draw, or if they are trying to see if their K might be good. This way seems to have me calling to the river just in case.

I liked the check raise because If it is successful I have a better Idea of how strong their hand is (if I am reraised for example)and could fold easier if I am beat. I also get paid off by anyone with a single spade (assuming a fourth spade doesn't come)and anyone with a worse King.

I would love some comments on how to evaluate this situation.

UTG is 42%vpip/ 11.2%pfr/ 2.0aggr
Button is 59%vpip/ 0%pfr/ .32 aggr


Paradise Poker 1/2 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: (3.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG folds, Button calls.

[sharpie]

Bet the flop. Bad idea to check with a .32 AF on the button and the aggro guy on your left who you wouldn't mind raising if you bet.

[Nick C]

Unless Button wakes up at some point, I think you're going to have trouble figuring out where you stand anyway. So you might as well lead, I think.

Edit: On monotone flops, it's hard to figure out what anyone has, so reads become difficult.

Anyway, I was responding blind, but I agree with what Sharpie wrote.