NL200 - "I'm going to get you"

[illmatic]

I agree with this, although QQ is somewhat less likely since we have a Q. But if you want to open his range to include lower pairs and other hands, then you have to include TT which would pull the balance the other way and make it a less favorable call.

The bottom line is it's still going to be a thin call. This is nowhere near a great opportunity for you to stack a guy although it may be marginally mathematically correct to call.

With respect to meta game, against an opponent that you think you are better than, and who is getting overaggro against you, there are much better spots to get their money than to take an even money, or slightly better than even money shot.

Say it were similar $600 stacks, preflop action is that he raised, you raised to $50 and opponent raises all in with you holding 22. You happened to see his cards when he lifted them up and you are sure he has a face card and some other card, non-paint. So you know he is holding overcards, and not an overpair.

Do you call? It is obviously +EV to call, since you are a 52-55% favorite.

Why or why not, and why is this situation that much different than the above?

later,
illmatic