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  #11  
Old 06-29-2006, 11:36 AM
FeNeF FeNeF is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

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Call. Villian could easily have a bare 5, or AJs or something

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Not this villain

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So this guy's some sort of freakish ubernit?

Then I dunno. I can't think of a villian I wouldn't get it in against though, so this guy would have to be something special..
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  #12  
Old 06-29-2006, 11:44 AM
willbb99 willbb99 is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

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Anyone raising the turn?

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I'm not.

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Me neither. Especially with such a strong read on this guy.
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  #13  
Old 06-29-2006, 11:49 AM
roxxorzjoo roxxorzjoo is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

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Can't see him having a 5 if he's a tight regular. Don't think he checks the flop with a jack. NO WAY he has aces as second limper and also checking the flop. Probably has 222, JJJ or a busted flush draw. Don't think I'm capable of folding this anyway.

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There is absolutely no way I get away from this.
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  #14  
Old 06-29-2006, 12:36 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

Known multitablers can still do stupid stuff call.
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  #15  
Old 06-29-2006, 01:31 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

Exactly what do you mean by "tight?" There's a difference between a VPIP of 17% and 4%.
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  #16  
Old 06-29-2006, 01:36 PM
cleinen cleinen is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

VPIP 14% over 500 hands
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  #17  
Old 06-29-2006, 01:45 PM
AMT AMT is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

what range does he limp with at UTG+1 that youre not ahead of?
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  #18  
Old 06-29-2006, 01:48 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Default Re: $22 Speed Hand out of the SB

Top 14% is {44+,A8o+,A4s+,KJs+}. A more likely 14% range is {22+, AJo+, ATs+, KQs}. He probably raises AA and KK all the time, QQ, AK, and JJ some of the time, and limps the rest. You are ahead of AJ, and behind 55, 22, JJ, AA. Of those, the most likely based on his preflop action are AJs ([img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]) and 22. He's also bluffing some fraction of the time.

I still think you make more checking to induce a bluff from the majority of his range that's missed rather than betting out. It also means a lot more when he pushes over your check-minraise rather than over your spurrious river lead.
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