($55s) QQ, crazy action preflop.

DevinLake · #1 06-27-2006, 11:36 PM

I didn’t know what to think of this hand. No real reads on these guys.

PartyPoker $55 Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t400 (7 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t1232)
UTG+1 (t2814)
MP1 (t2330)
CO (t1320)
Button (t8164)
SB (t1710)
Hero (t2430)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 raises to t2330 (All-in), CO folds, Button calls t2330, SB calls t1710 (All-in), Hero ????

AnthonyH · #2 06-27-2006, 11:39 PM

i'd call. SB is the only hand that you may have to be worried about. MP1's pushing with garbage, and button is calling with hands that slightly beat garbage.

Kn0wClue · #3 06-28-2006, 01:28 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i'd call. SB is the only hand that you may have to be worried about. MP1's pushing with garbage, and button is calling with hands that slightly beat garbage.

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree but with 3 others in the pot ur chances of winning are probably around 40%

AnthonyH · #4 06-28-2006, 01:41 AM

if it's anywhere near 40% this makes it an instacall.

Kn0wClue · #5 06-28-2006, 01:48 AM

[ QUOTE ]
if it's anywhere near 40% this makes it an instacall.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed. just saying that its still not a for sure win even if he is ahead.

DevinLake · #6 06-28-2006, 01:59 AM

You guys aren't helping! If I thought I was 40% I would have instacalled. But, where is this 40% coming from?

Kn0wClue · #7 06-28-2006, 02:05 AM

i just estimated mp1's range to be 40% with buttons range at 20% and sb at 15% and that gives ur 44% chance of winning approx with those ranges. i feel like mp's range is pretty wide and the buttons might be fairily looser than 20% with his stack but i think the sb is pretty close to 15%.

AMT · #8 06-28-2006, 02:13 AM

id probably call. i agree that SB is the only hand you should worry about being of substantial strength consistently, but the fact is they could all have AT+ here making you a nice fat favorite while they share high cards. i dont know that folding is prudent with your delicate stack size, but i honestly dont recall being in this spot before....

EscapePlan9 · #9 06-28-2006, 02:15 AM

Hope they all have AK and JJ.

DevinLake · #10 06-28-2006, 02:21 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i just estimated mp1's range to be 40% with buttons range at 20% and sb at 15% and that gives ur 44% chance of winning approx with those ranges. i feel like mp's range is pretty wide and the buttons might be fairily looser than 20% with his stack but i think the sb is pretty close to 15%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok, I actually played with the numbers a bit and I get around a 40% equity, which surprised me (I thought you were pulling that number out of the air).

However, I don't think your ranges are realistic.

Most villains at $55s are not pushing 40% in this spot. Big stack could be calling pretty wide, but I still think 20% is a little generous. With two callers in front, I just can't see SB calling with 15% regardless of his chip situation.