FT live game - is this a tough decision?

[aplunk]

£50 freeze-out, south-central england, 26 runners
4 pay - £600,£400,£200,£100
7 left
5 of us are small stacks
blinds 700/1500 - no ante
approx chip counts :

SB 30,000
BB (HERO) 10,200
UTG 5,500
UTG+1 55,000
MP1 8,000
CO 9,000
BUTTON 6,100

SB posts 700
BB (HERO) posts 1500
UTG 5,500 all-in
folded to button
BUTTON 6,100 all-in
folded to hero
pot is now 13,800
HERO Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ??


my read on utg is that he's not a good enough player to realise that he may have to push any two, i think he's got an above-average hand
my read on button is that he is a good player and i think he'd only call there with a well-above-average hand

i have 8700 - i would need to call 4600 into a 13800 pot - exactly 3:1 pot odds
i'm 99.99% sure i'm behind, possibly with about a 25% chance of winning

i think it's an easy fold, or an obvious call - can't decide which - any thoughts?

do i join in the battle of the small-stacks?
is this just a maths question?
if it is - how do i factor in the payout structure?

[okterrific]

I think its an easy fold. Let them fight for this pot and you'll try for the next one. Id rather you open push w Q6 then call two alliners. You only have about 4 M's but I think you're better off waiting 2-4 hands and going allin blind then calling in this spot.

[Sherman]

From my SNG experience this in a fold. Then push your 27o when you can open and suck out against TT.

[mornelth]

Depends on my mood, really. If I figure 3:1 odds and I figure to be AT LEAST even money - I call. You're too close to MP1 and CO to try to fold into money. If you call and lose - well, you're the shortstack and you'll have to deal with it, but if you call and win - you're leaving two short stacks to battle it out for the 4th while you are waiting for a hand...