|
|
#1
06-22-2006, 12:22 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$EV?
$33NL, 21 remaining.
Villain is CL and has been very agressive. His raising range here is any two, his calling range isn't quite as clear, but he hasn't folded to a reraise yet (but hasn't shown down 52o either). PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t3000 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP1 (t37348) MP2 (t41868) CO (t42972) Button (t162340) HERO (t23519) BB (t21013) UTG (t16783) UTG+1 (t70435) Preflop: is with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#0000FF">Button raises to t9000</font>, HERO ??? 
|
|
#2
06-22-2006, 12:27 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$
well, you have pretty much zero fold equity here. If you think his range is that big, im assuming A2o is ahead of that range. So a push is probably EV+. The other alternative is folding and preserving your chips to control the action.
|
|
#3
06-22-2006, 12:34 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$
[ QUOTE ]
If you think his range is that big, im assuming A2o is ahead of that range. So a push is probably EV+. [/ QUOTE ]I posted this because I want more than assumptions and probably's. What do we think a standard calling range is here? Top 45%? Can someone mathematically inclined decide if that's +EV? Basically, am I looking for too small an edge here?
|
|
#6
06-22-2006, 02:30 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$EV?
you've got about 7.5bb left, if you are the first one in the pot, you have plenty of fold equity... you probably can't make this guy fold, and A2 is a weak hand. fold here and find a spot where you're first in, your hand doesnt have to be strong.
|
|
#7
06-22-2006, 02:55 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$EV?
I think it's probably more +ev to find a better place to put your chips in. Your probably ahead but I'd be willing to bet you can find a better place to do it.
|
|
#8
06-22-2006, 02:59 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$
[ QUOTE ]
I think it's probably more +ev to find a better place to put your chips in. Your probably ahead but I'd be willing to bet you can find a better place to do it. [/ QUOTE ] Nah, coinflip's good enough, and thats about what we have if he has anything but a pair or an ace. We have 7.5bb, I didn't see what level but if its on Stars and there are antes our M is like 3. Time to gambool.
|
|
#9
06-22-2006, 12:56 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think it's probably more +ev to find a better place to put your chips in. Your probably ahead but I'd be willing to bet you can find a better place to do it. [/ QUOTE ] Nah, coinflip's good enough, and thats about what we have if he has anything but a pair or an ace. We have 7.5bb, I didn't see what level but if its on Stars and there are antes our M is like 3. Time to gambool. [/ QUOTE ] We're sitting to the left of a guy raising any 2 and a coinflip is the best we can do in the next 3 orbits? I'd wait for a better spot.
|
|
#10
06-22-2006, 01:24 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Shortstacked, Late, Facing a Raise with a Marginal Hand - +cEV? +$
I agree that villain's probably pushing any 2 here. I also think he's calling your push with any 2. Your hand is a favorite against his range, so I'm willing to push and race. It's about as +EV as stealing the blinds is, but with much greater variance.
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
