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  #1  
Old 06-08-2006, 04:12 PM
Jonny5 Jonny5 is offline
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Default World Cup Team Draft

11 person 2 round snake draft for World Cup teams. Winner take all.
Draft so far.
1 - Brazil
2 - England
3 - Argentina
4 - Netherlands
5 - Mexico
6 - Germany
7 - France
8 - Spain ** Me
9 - Italy
10 – Czech Republic
11 - Portuagal
12 – USA
13 – Sweden
14 –Japan
15 - ** Me again.

a) how was my first pick?
b) Who should I pick next?
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  #2  
Old 06-08-2006, 04:16 PM
Freerollin` Freerollin` is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

a) Horrendous. Czechs were available.
b) Poland
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  #3  
Old 06-08-2006, 04:24 PM
Jonny5 Jonny5 is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

Thanks Freerollin'
I know nothin about World Cup, just thought I'd give it a shot. Should have posted before my first pick. I was gonna take Czech and a friend (who supposebly knows about Soccer) talked me into Spain.
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  #4  
Old 06-08-2006, 05:16 PM
sunnypoker sunnypoker is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

i'm not sure if freerollin is any knowledgable.

his assumptiosn were that iran had a good chance against mexico, since iran beat USA once before.
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  #5  
Old 06-08-2006, 06:29 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

Who the hell took Mexico ahead of Germany, Italy, France, and Spain?

(1) I think Italy was the best pick in your spot. Freerollin is way off here, because Spain is worse than Italy, but still probably as good as anyone else. Spain is also better than the Czech Republic, so I don't know what he's talking about there.

So you messed up, but not horrendously so.

(2) In order of preference: Ukraine, Croatia, Ivory Coast, Poland.

The #1 slot seems to have a huge advantage because you get Brazil.
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  #6  
Old 06-08-2006, 07:03 PM
Freerollin` Freerollin` is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

[ QUOTE ]
i'm not sure if freerollin is any knowledgable.

his assumptiosn were that iran had a good chance against mexico, since iran beat USA once before.

[/ QUOTE ]

Right, that was the only basis for my pick.

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  #7  
Old 06-08-2006, 08:31 PM
ImBen ImBen is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

1) Spain was an excellent pick. They were by far the best team available. I have them rated #4 in the tourney.

2) Croatia is your best selection. Ukraine is slightly behind them. Ivory Coast/Poland are a toss-up in distant third.

Whoever took Japan has been eating too much sushi. They're barely in the top 25 and not even one of the top two Asian teams.
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  #8  
Old 06-08-2006, 11:51 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

[ QUOTE ]
1) Spain was an excellent pick. They were by far the best team available.

[/ QUOTE ]

Spain is okay. I think Italy is better though. Claiming that Spain is "by far" the best team remaining is just hyperbole; even if they are the best team left, it's not by much.

[ QUOTE ]
Whoever took Japan has been eating too much sushi. They're barely in the top 25 and not even one of the top two Asian teams.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, picking Japan is just nuts. Of course, it probably won't matter since the winner will almost certainly be one of the top nine, or #12. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #9  
Old 06-09-2006, 02:55 AM
ImBen ImBen is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
1) Spain was an excellent pick. They were by far the best team available.

[/ QUOTE ]

Spain is okay. I think Italy is better though. Claiming that Spain is "by far" the best team remaining is just hyperbole; even if they are the best team left, it's not by much.


[/ QUOTE ]

Spain has almost twice the winning probability of Italy. They lag only Brazil, France & Germany.
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  #10  
Old 06-09-2006, 05:15 AM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: World Cup Team Draft

[ QUOTE ]
Spain has almost twice the winning probability of Italy.

[/ QUOTE ]

Right now at Pinnacle:

Italy +1015
Spain +1542

So this says Spain has about 2/3 the winning probability of Italy.
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