Winning system FOUND!

chan123bet · #1 06-08-2006, 06:22 AM

http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=365475

Makes me wonder why the sportsbooks are in business. OP explained his method of capping on page 8.

The OP is absolutely pwning pinnacle now, any followers of his system here?

I am going ALL IN on this system with daddy's CC!

DCWildcat · #2 06-08-2006, 01:31 PM

variance = a bitch with that

also, the ytd totals are a little misleading. he should be dominating them betting only heavy favorites. and he'll get pwned if he loses 3-4 in a row, especially when he doubles his bet (??)

Artdogg · #3 06-08-2006, 04:34 PM

lol, i bet in baseball a heavy underdog system would work much better

DCWildcat · #4 06-09-2006, 11:38 AM

[ QUOTE ]
lol, i bet in baseball a heavy underdog system would work much better

[/ QUOTE ]

Considering how the public goes for favorites (esp. big ones), I would think you're right.

Mr_J · #5 06-09-2006, 12:28 PM

That thread is full of idiots.

shipdapaper · #6 06-09-2006, 02:29 PM

....Would it not be better to martingale dogs instead of Favs? you would get more games to bet before it gets out of hand and when you win...wouldnt you get more of a return?
I maybe way off here! If so please explain.

Thanks

Shipdapaper

AaronL · #7 06-09-2006, 05:59 PM

I think most baseball betters would agree that betting big favs is a horrid idea... Martingale style betting is simply the idea of double up after a loss... ie taking greater risk for smaller rewards... basically he is multiplying the risk on bad beats so when he does get hit it is going to be real hard and if he continues he will lose long term... Basically if I said I'm going to give you -400 on a -375 bet would you do it (if you wanted to win money long term)? Clearly, martingale betting will only increase your variance... In other words he is basically delaying the collection of juice on a long sequence of bad bets... when he gets hit he will get hit hard (and the book will get all its "owed" juice back at once...)

Artdogg · #8 06-09-2006, 06:07 PM

it might be possible in football as I cant think of any 14+ point favorites that lost last year off the top of my head, but people do realize that the best teams in baseball still lose around 60 games right?

smbruin22 · #9 06-10-2006, 12:32 AM

the record looked impressive.... but it's a "moneyline" record.... can you show the average moneyline that was bet? if i play heavy favorites, i expect to have a 75% winning percentage

wonder if this is how sports betting services advertise 85% win rates.

shipdapaper · #10 06-10-2006, 01:29 AM

no they advertise 85% win rates because they want you money...