Bet..or check raise the river?

[iceman5]

$1/$2NL..6 max

I limp 99 UTG . Button raises to $8. BB calls and I call.
$210 effective stacks

Button is 26 / 8. Plays badly post flop and is getting hammered after 1000 hands. No read on BB

Pot $25 Flop 9s 3s 3h... BB checks, I check, button checks.

Pot $25. Turn Ad . BB checks, I bet $14, button calls. BB folds.

Pot $53. River 8s. I check looking to check raise all in.

Im 100% sure the button has an A and will bet the river. Likey?

Or do you prefer to lead the river?

[suited77]

i prefer to lead the river b/c i think you won't get enough value by checkraising as you will as if you lead (b/c an A will fold to a c/r). i think it is better to lead and get raised by a flush or a 3

[ConfusedAgain]

I would lead because he thinks you have an A also. He is not going to bet unless he likes his kicker a lot.

[Triumph36]

River brought the flush which may scare him off - he's not calling a check-raise, so why not control the betting by throwing in a full pot bet.

[DJ Sensei]

bet more on turn.

lead river is better:
- if his A was any good, he'd probably raise the turn. (so he may check behind the river anyhow)
- he may have AsXs, since he just called the turn. If so, leading into his flush = hopping on the gravy train.

[thejerkface]

Bet more on the turn. I'd pot it. If they don't have an Ace or 3 on the turn, they'll fold to any bet. You want to get the most value against these two possible holdings, so pot it.