25NL FR - set of 10's and lost on the river

[skoal2k4]

villian is 27/0/1.04 after 130 hands

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $5.85
UTG+1: $7.95
MP1: $3
MP2: $10
MP3: $33.75
CO: $30.45
Button: $30.05
SB: $6.65
skoal2k4: $25.10

Pre-flop: (9 players) skoal2k4 is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls, 2 folds, MP2 (poster) checks, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, skoal2k4 (poster) checks.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($1.75, 7 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">skoal2k4 bets $1.5</font>, 2 folds, MP3 calls, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds.

Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($6.25, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">skoal2k4 bets $5</font>, MP3 calls, Button folds.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($16.25, 2 players)
skoal2k4 [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[Autocratic]

Bet around $12 or so I think.

[mayesie]

The villain in this hand doesn't seem to display much aggression. If he has a high WTSD% (indicating he's a calling station), I go ahead &amp; push the river. Otherwise, I'd make a value bet of 9.00 so I don't scare him away.

Against a decent player, I'd check/call. I don't like that play here because I think you get called by plenty of worse hands by the type of villain you described.

BTW, I'm not worried about the river card. If the villain has a straight, he likely made it on the turn. However, it's more likely he's holding a pair or a busted draw.

[FGators]

My play is to bet $8 and fold to a raise.