J6 in the BB, Party 1/2

[PilotMatt]

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (3 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls, SB folds.

Turn: (2.50 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (4.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero ....

Only 40 hands on villan, but assume very LP (89/0/.8, river aggro is 9.0, but i think this is sample size related)

Easy bet fold?

[Barrin6]

check call for me. On the flop he's either on a flush draw or calling down with med pair. Having a pair of 2's is very unlikey.

[NSchandler]

I b/f. He's going to call with more hands than he bets, and I don't know what he's raising you with here that you beat. Might as well get value from ace high. That 9.0 River AF is scary, but as long as you sincerely believe it's sample size related, I think you're fine.

Edited to say: I guess one advantage to c/c is that he might check behind a king scared of the flush, but I think that's really doubtful.

[Adam D]

[ QUOTE ]
check call for me. On the flop he's either on a flush draw or calling down with med pair. Having a pair of 2's is very unlikey.

[/ QUOTE ]
He's obviously loose passive-ish. Why can't he be calling down w/ a 2? I'd b/f.

[GetThere1Time]

I think we might be able to c/f this river against a very LP

[Adam D]

Even though his sample size is small, this LP has a 9.0 AF on the river, I think c/f is too weak.

[Andrew Karpinski]

BBBBBBBBEEEEEETTTTTTTTTTTTT

[GetThere1Time]

meh, I guess b/f &gt; c/f &gt; c/c

[ILOVEPOKER929]

Easy bet/fold?? I dont think so. Against this guy you shouldnt be betting this river to begin with. Just check and call. He will bet many more hands than he will call with so snap off a bluff.

[Verde]

Check it, then call it.