Top two on AQT flop

[Lyric]

He's playing 40/9/1.88 over 550 hands. Goes to showdown 22% and wins 41%. He likes to check raise the flop. We've not been involved in anything major yet.

No-Limit Hold'em, $20 BB (7 handed)

Hero ($5362.50)
CO ($4564.35)
Button ($4715)
SB ($3687)
BB ($1327.50)
UTG ($2000)
MP1 ($1473)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $20, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $80</font>, CO calls $80, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $60, UTG calls $60.

Flop: ($330) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $200</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $600</font>, CO folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $1920</font>

[MDMA]

Well, you're definately not raising this flop to FOLD if he pushes. This is an instacall. Running bad?

[ML4L]

Lyric,

[ QUOTE ]
What should I do?

[/ QUOTE ]

I mean this in the nicest possible way when I say...

Are you [censored] kidding me?

ML4L

[Lyric]

[ QUOTE ]
Running bad?

[/ QUOTE ]

Two in the mornin' got no Fatburger...
Half way home and my pager's not blowin' up
Today I had to use my A.K.

[mak15]

call, pretty hard to put him on a range we'd be a 2:1 dog against.

[Finwe]

What is a reasonable range for UTG after the push given his stats (don't use PT much)?

Regards,

Fin

[Lyric]

[ QUOTE ]
What is a reasonable range for UTG after the push given his stats (don't use PT much)?

Regards,

Fin

[/ QUOTE ]

KJ KQh QJh AT QT TT AQ

Stats show that he's limping way too much, raising a good/normal amount, and is fairly passive post flop. He's losing too much at showdown which means he's over estimating hand strength and going too far with weak holdings, but could also just mean he's been unlucky.

Because he's fairly passive postflop, we know he definitely has something big here. He's raising a good amount pre, so we expect a raise from AK AA QQ pre-flop and can rule those out.

[mak15]

given that range and read, super instacall.

[-Skeme-]

[ QUOTE ]
KJ KQh QJh AT QT TT

[/ QUOTE ]

Hand 1: 41.1877 % 40.54% 00.65% { AdQs }
Hand 2: 58.8123 % 58.16% 00.65% { TT, KJs, QhJh, ATo, KJo, QTo }

Come on man, insta-call.

[Lyric]

[ QUOTE ]
Hand 1: 41.1877 %
Hand 2: 58.8123 %

[/ QUOTE ]

It's better than that, actually:
Hand 1: 46.4578 % 40.57% 05.89% { AdQs }
Hand 2: 53.5422 % 47.65% 05.89% { TT, AcQc, AsQs, AcTc, AsTs, KhQh, KJs, QhJh, QcTc, QdTd, QsTs, AQo, ATo, KJo, QTo }

The question is -- why is 25% of 2p2 recommending a fold?