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#1
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Is betting on the flop bad?
What do I do on the turn? Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 9 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $14.70 UTG+1: $22.43 MP1: $8.51 MP2: $25.70 MP3: $23.25 CO: $13.72 Button: $26.62 SB: $26.49 Hero: $32.11 Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero checks. Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($1.5, 6 players) SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $1</font>, MP1 folds, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls. Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($5.5, 4 players) SB checks, Hero ???. |
#2
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b/f is pretty standard i think.
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#3
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[ QUOTE ]
b/f is pretty standard i think. [/ QUOTE ] Call only with odds to fill up. Possibly impied if he's a mega donk. |
#4
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Here the question would be, what is the probability of villain having a flush?
Being that he filled from the SB, he could have anything. Usually most common holdings would be : 9x suited (no spade), 9x non suited x>7, T8, 56, 47, 88, 66, AK, AQ, TT, JJ, 44,77, 99 or any suited spade 9x - suited (not suited spade) you have 3 x 13 = 39 combinations 9x x>=7 - no suited (x no 9 ) 8 x 12 = 96 9x -- total -- 135 combinations T8,56,47,AK,AQ - 15 x 5 = 60 JJ,TT,88,66 - 6 x 4 = 24 44,77,99 = 6 x 3 = 18 Any suited [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] -- 78 Combinations you beat -- 219 Cominations that beats you -- 96 You will be ahead -- 219/315=> 69,5% of times Briefly, him having a weak top pair and calling has more weight than him having a flush as long as he is a bad player. Most of the times a hand you beat is not going to call a turn bet, but I think it's necesary since you don't have any spade on your hand. And opponent will have it 44% of the time. What happens if opponent call and river is blank? I would check if he checks, after calling a bet at the flushed board I would give more credibility to his flush. What if he bets? I think you have to call if the pot odds are good, but I would feel my two pair are no good. ---- Now my question: If opponent bets into you (A moderate bet of 3$), would you call it? Maybe with two pair yes, because you are ahead of practically all his range except a flush, but with a pair? regards, dardo |
#5
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thanks for the thorough analysis dardo. since there are two more oppoenents in the hand I think check/fold should be the right strategy here...
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
b/f is pretty standard i think. [/ QUOTE ] Hmm... I like that play much better than c/c which is what I normally do here. |
#7
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![]() Yep, sure. Thought it was HU. regards, dardo |
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