2/4 limit: Value on river ... or spewing?

[Octopus]

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I'd check and fold here. I don't know the exact numbers, but people seem to love aces in this game, and even with two on the board, I'd think there's a better than 2.5-1 chance that one is out, and that's what you are getting from the pot.

I'm still new, but one of the repeated warnings I've seen is to avoid second best one-way hands. I'd just check and fold.

Edit: Personally, I don't like it since the pot is tiny.

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I'd love it if an ace were out - as long as it is not aces full. As for avoiding second best high hands, I would have folded this hand for one bet on either the flop of the turn without a second thought, but now we are at the river and my read is that I have the best (high) hand quite frequently.

The size of the pot has nothing to do with betting or not here, except as it affects my opponents calling frequency - it may even help beacue I am less likely to face a bluff raise. (Do people even do that at 2/4 O/8?) It does, of course, have to do with whether I call a bet or a raise. Certainly if two people remained interested I could fold. I am not trying to steal the pot; this is strictly value. If a worse high only hand calls then I make money. If multiple lows call then I make money.

It all hinges on whether I have the best high hand at least half of the time I get one or more callers. Against these players, I can see a flush calling and I can see a naked ace calling. I think it is close.

Of course, it turns out I got three callers and was shown AQ62 (62 of hearts), TT77 and 9522 for two better boats and the second nut low, so I could be wrong. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Just trying to learn.