Re: AA overpair against a probable set
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Why can't villain have the Queen/King of Clubs? If he's a good player, jamming the flop with a set doesn't make any sense as it doesn't extract value from you - a PSR makes more sense. Yet if he has the combo flush/straight draw, his equity is greater than 50% due to the probabilities he'll hit his draws, and jamming allows him to not make a mistake on the turn if his card doesn't come.
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I see what you are saying. That would be a good way to play KQ of clubs. However that is only one combination of cards when there are 3 combos each of JJ,TT, and 22, plus all the combos of JT. Those are all legit hands to consider as well.
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