#1
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poker calculatio: set vs. overset question
A little off-topic. I've got a friend bemoaning his "bad" play becuase of a set vs. overset hand. I told him to not worry about it too much. I was trying to figure out how often it happens in a 6max game. Is this calculation right? (I know these are approximations.)
6% chance you get pocket pair 30% chance one of the other five has a pocket pair 11% chance you flop a set 11% chance he flops a set so 6% * 30% * 11% * 11% ~ 0.02% chance or once per 5,000 hands or so? I realize I'm ignoring the overlaps and chance of multiple pocket pairs, etc. but this is back of the envelope. |
#2
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Re: poker calculatio: set vs. overset question
I have no idea, but probability forum
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#3
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Re: poker calculatio: set vs. overset question
Thanks. Forgot about that. Though probability forum looks like a wasteland of dead posts ...
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