#11
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Re: Belmont Stakes
Imawildandcrazyguy
Curlin Rags to Riches Box exacta, trifecta with Hard Spun and box super with HS/RtR at the bottom. |
#12
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Re: Belmont Stakes
[ QUOTE ]
I have a question for you guys. This may be stupid and probably is, however, I proposed a buddy of mine on a wager that curlin would show in the race tomorrow and he said if I give me "proper" odds he would consider the bet. Is it possible to figure out what it would pay. Curlin is 6-5 right now to win. So I figure it has to be a pretty large ML...-500???, considering there are only 7 horses. Any way to figure this out more precisely? Thanks. [/ QUOTE ] I am not sure if you are asking what it will pay or what the fair price would be. It will likely pay $2.10 or $2.20 unless longshots win and place, I think that is -2000 and -1000. Based on historical data odds-on favorites in stakes races have actually made money to show despite an average payout of <$2.30. So if you wanted to make money on the wager you shouldn't be offering more than -1200, even offering track odds would be just slightly above break even. |
#13
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Re: Belmont Stakes
Bishop,
You answered both parts I guess I was trying to ask. Appreciate the help. Is it possible that a 2 dollar ticket for curlin to show could pay less than 2 dollars??? |
#14
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Re: Belmont Stakes
Imawildandcrazy -150 HU v Slew's Tizzy
big bet so far, probably max this one |
#15
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Re: Belmont Stakes
rush no, the min. they can pay out is 2.10.
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#16
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Re: Belmont Stakes
Any late good bets in the Belmont? Usually don't bet the horses but going to Monmouth park tommorow.
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#17
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Re: Belmont Stakes
[ QUOTE ]
Imawildandcrazy -150 HU v Slew's Tizzy big bet so far, probably max this one [/ QUOTE ] I like...hope they put that up on Bodog. |
#18
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Re: Belmont Stakes
terrible odds now on Imawildandcrazy guy, I got some down on him in futures at 30-1 and 20-1, but not betting him to win now at 6-1, that's crazy.
Curlin at 3-2 or better, Rags to Riches Hard Spun [a bargain here at 5-1 with no StSense] and ImaWild used in exotics, with Curlin keyed in top slots Tri box with Wild in bottom spots Ex box with Curlin and above small save win on Tiago and Tiago/Curlin exacta |
#19
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Re: Belmont Stakes
this is the first time ive ever bet on anything besides poker.
i have R2R, curlin, and hard spun on an exacta box at 5$ each bet. given the odds in the NY post at 8:5 7:2 and 8:5 respectively, what is the payout on this????? |
#20
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Re: Belmont Stakes
Matchups I like:
C P West over Imawildandcrazyguy +140 (Olympic) C P West over Tiago +145 (Olympic) Matchup I really like: Hard Spun over Rags to Riches I got this one at -105 at SIA. It seems they took it down now (maybe they realized how bad their lines were). I only see it at -135 now, but I've only checked a couple sites. Still looks like a great bet to me at -135. |
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