5h 6h 7h 8h

[Alchemist]

[ QUOTE ]
One more question, if I may.

Can anyone count the odds for hitting (assuming all needed cards are live):

flush

straight

straight flush

[/ QUOTE ]

I ran a sim in PokerCalculator by giving a player 5678 all hearts and made 22QQKA dead/seen cards. It dealt 100,000 hands and I added up the number of times it made each hand and got this:

Straight: 22.2%
Flush: 38.3%
Str. flush: 14.1%

Which looks right. Calculating for the SF, determine the probability of not making the SF with 3 cars to come:

1 - (40/42 * 39/41 * 38/40) = 13.94%
You'll make a straight flush an incredible one in 7 times (almost) and make any of above hands 3/4 of the time.

I'll still see if I can verify the others.

[Nina]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
One more question, if I may.

Can anyone count the odds for hitting (assuming all needed cards are live):

flush

straight

straight flush

[/ QUOTE ]

I ran a sim in PokerCalculator by giving a player 5678 all hearts and made 22QQKA dead/seen cards. It dealt 100,000 hands and I added up the number of times it made each hand and got this:

Straight: 22.2%
Flush: 38.3%
Str. flush: 14.1%

Which looks right. Calculating for the SF, determine the probability of not making the SF with 3 cars to come:

1 - (40/42 * 39/41 * 38/40) = 13.94%
You'll make a straight flush an incredible one in 7 times (almost) and make any of above hands 3/4 of the time.

I'll still see if I can verify the others.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks a lot! Very kind of you. So roughly one wins every second time with a hand like that. Worth betting with only one player in...

[Sevenfold]

"So roughly one wins every second time with a hand like that. Worth betting with only one player in..."

NO!!!! (or yes, worth betting, but not winning 1 out of 2)

You can win this hand many different ways, back into 2 pair, etc., not just flush/staight. You are a huge favorite over an average hand heads up.

Vs. 0ne pair Q Q 2 6 (no hearts) 75% win

Vs. Two pair A A 2 2 (one heart) you still win 57% of the time!!! Heads up!!!!

Againt A A A K (no hearts) you still will win 48% of the time!!!

And look at this.
Vs. 2 2 2 5 (no hearts), you are favored!!!!!

This hand is so big the only worry is how to get the most money into the pot.

[PokrLikeItsProse]

[ QUOTE ]


This hand is so big the only worry is how to get the most money into the pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

The stronger your opponents' board, the more likely it will look as if you are raising with a flush for value.

Which leads me to think that you should consider not raising if your opponent is likely to fold if you catch a heart on fifth or sixth, but may misread you as starting with a small pair if you just call.

[Tha Stunna]

I would add a quick warning that 5h 6h 7h 8h is about the same as Th 9h 8h 7h in a big multiway pot; if you hit your low straight and a high hand starts jamming with you, you are actually in deep trouble if multiple low draws are left, let alone a made low.

By all means jam with your draw early on (if you are in good position), but be careful with a made hand when another high player shows aggression.

You can raise on 5th as well if you suspect your opponents have only pairs or low draws (even low wheel draws); you are over 50/50 to make your straight or flush.

[Nina]

Caugt another nice hand yesterday: started with AAA but as my hand didn't improve, lost to a boat. I downloaded the PokerCalculator -it's freeware! Well, you probably already knew it... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[Jim T]

[ QUOTE ]
I would add a quick warning that 5h 6h 7h 8h is about the same as Th 9h 8h 7h in a big multiway pot; if you hit your low straight and a high hand starts jamming with you, you are actually in deep trouble if multiple low draws are left, let alone a made low.

By all means jam with your draw early on (if you are in good position), but be careful with a made hand when another high player shows aggression.

You can raise on 5th as well if you suspect your opponents have only pairs or low draws (even low wheel draws); you are over 50/50 to make your straight or flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't say explicitly, but I believe she's playing hi, not hi/low.

[Nina]

Yes, HI.