#1
|
|||
|
|||
How -EV is this call?
I will preface this by saying that I know I should have folded. I almost folded. I kicked myself before I called. I know I finish ITM close to all the time here, but I felt the BB, who was TAG, is pushing with any J or 10 here on the bubble, to force me off.
My question is to anyone who knows how to run this calculation. I need to learn, and this is about the best example I've ever encountered. How much money am I losing on this call? (Pay-outs at Stars 90-54-36). Do I always fold here unless I am playing a maniac (which I wasn't)? PokerStars Game #11629470894: Tournament #58999994, $20+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2007/08/22 - 13:10:25 (ET) Table '58999994 1' 9-max Seat #7 is the button Seat 5: ZPotvin (810 in chips) Seat 7: keefy817 (4196 in chips) Seat 8: The Stats (3827 in chips) Seat 9: mikal12345 (4667 in chips) ZPotvin: posts the ante 25 keefy817: posts the ante 25 The Stats: posts the ante 25 mikal12345: posts the ante 25 The Stats: posts small blind 200 mikal12345: posts big blind 400 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to keefy817 [Jd As] ZPotvin: folds keefy817: raises 400 to 800 The Stats: folds mikal12345: calls 400 *** FLOP *** [Th 4h Js] mikal12345: bets 3842 and is all-in keefy817: calls 3371 and is all-in *** TURN *** [Th 4h Js] [2h] *** RIVER *** [Th 4h Js 2h] [7h] *** SHOW DOWN *** mikal12345: shows [Ad Jh] (a flush, Jack high) keefy817: shows [Jd As] (a pair of Jacks) mikal12345 collected 8642 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 8642 | Rake 0 Board [Th 4h Js 2h 7h] Seat 5: ZPotvin folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 7: keefy817 (button) showed [Jd As] and lost with a pair of Jacks Seat 8: The Stats (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 9: mikal12345 (big blind) showed [Ad Jh] and won (8642) with a flush, Jack high |
|
|