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Old 02-26-2007, 03:49 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
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Default live HORSEament, Stud/8 short-stacked hand (STTF x-post)

Live HORSEament final table. 8 players remain. 4 spots pay 130/180/280/490. I think everything is correct here, but there's only so much information I can absorb and retain for 12 hours, so bear with me. Tournament forum posters don't know 7-card Stud from Caribbean Stud so I'm hoping for some help here.

50/150/400/800 Stud/8

Seat 1: t2000 xx xx ?[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Seat 2: t1000 xx xx K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Seat 3: t1500 xx xx 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]__bring-in
Hero: t1075 K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]__???
Seat 5: t2500 xx xx ?mid[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Seat 6: t4000 xx xx 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Seat 7: t6000 xx xx ?low[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Seat 8: t2500 xx xx 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Before the flaming starts, I want to point out that I have barely more than one big bet left and can get almost all-in on 4th street. My opponents' implied odds won't be as good as they typically are because I'll never get stuck paying off the big streets with a marginal high against a freerolling made low. I'm pretty much 50/50 against typical 3-card low starting hands that might be at the table given what's showing, such as A26.

ICM prize pool equity calculator is a good way to estimate what different chip stack distributions are worth. In short, doubling is great for me, basically doubling my prize pool equity when the dead chips are included, but playing the pot greater than heads-up is of negative marginal benefit.

Am I correct in thinking this looks like a good spot to get all my chips in with great pot odds and a decent hot-and-cold hand?
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