Shorting the Chiefs at 9.5 wins

[trapsetter]

What do people think of this idea? Outside of Johnson, who is clearly a stud, this offense is way over the hill. How well are they going to respond to a new head coach and new offensive coordinator. The Chiefs defense was not good last year and is unlikely to improve much. Finally, they have a brutal schedule.

I see Kansas City going 7-9 this year, maybe 6-10, with 8-8 as the ceiling. If they win 9, which I can't see happening barring serious luck, you STILL win the bet.

This looks like a really strong play to me.

Thoughts?