Set + OESD

redCashion · #1 10-06-2006, 05:04 AM

One of my first hands after moving up. I had just sat down so, no reads.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button ($61.80)
SB ($96)
BB ($28.30)
UTG ($53.50)
UTG+1 ($60)
MP1 ($50)
MP2 ($50.40)
Hero ($35)
CO ($28.75)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $2, 1 fold, MP2 calls $2, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, Button calls $2, 2 folds.

Flop: ($8.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP2 bets $5, Hero calls $5, Button folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: ($18.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 bets $8, Hero?

carnivalhobo · #2 10-06-2006, 05:08 AM

buyin full

call

redCashion · #3 10-06-2006, 05:09 AM

Any case for pushing here, or is that spew?

carnivalhobo · #4 10-06-2006, 05:11 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Any case for pushing here, or is that spew?

[/ QUOTE ]

i dont think hes calling with anything that we beat

AJGibson · #5 10-06-2006, 05:18 AM

I'd call too, not enough in it for a raise, you're not on an outside straight draw, the board is.

ChipStorm · #6 10-06-2006, 06:04 AM

I hate when my pairs flop straight draws; their set-making power is completely compromised.

I would strongly consider folding this on the flop. You have the ass end of a 1-card OESD. Most of your outs make non-nut hands, and at the same time open you up to being beaten by better ones. A 7 is potential trouble, your 3 is potential trouble; the only card that makes you is a 2, and even then your hand is obvious. Your only real hope for a big hand here is to fill up, and on the flop, that's not a reasonable hope.

This situation always winds up being great for winning a small pot or losing a big one, and I usually just let it go on the flop.

Jouster777 · #7 10-06-2006, 06:26 AM

Given a PF call and the fact he liked his hand on the flop I would say villain's most likely range on the turn is:
Beaten: 22, 44-77, 78s, 67s, Xc7c
Ahead: A6s, 88-JJ, 56s, 45s, Xc3c

We look like we are probably a bit better than 50/50 here and we are getting great odds. Since its close and villain is betting I play it passively. I call turn, call up to a PSB on the river, and bet a river check.

kazana · #8 10-06-2006, 06:34 AM

Call and make that board pair on the river.
MP could be on a flush draw, so no reason to be too scared, yet.

If you push, only very few hands that you beat may call.

Imrahil · #9 10-06-2006, 08:50 AM

I think you have to call here simply for the odds of filling up.

neverforgetlol · #10 10-06-2006, 08:54 AM

i don't think the math works since he doesn't have a full stack. getting 3.6:1.