1020 150 bb Pushing villian of a ~boat

[Sasuke]

1020 game is 5 handed.
I havent been out of line in this game - villian knows me a bit, respects my play and knows im regular. I havent played with him much but his stats are rockish according to PT. 24/10 - fold sb steal: 78, fold bb steal: 70. So he really likes his blinds [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Folded to me in sb, I open it up with 78s, he calls. Effective stacks 3k.
Flop 666.
I bet 150 he calls.
Turn 8.
I bet 380 into 490 he says raises to 815 with 2k left. I stall a bit and shoves.

Pokerstove against a 30% calling range.
Board: 6d 6h 6s 8c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 74.700% 72.37% 02.33% 11336 365.00 { 8h7h }
Hand 1: 25.300% 22.97% 02.33% 3598 365.00 { 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }

[Hardgrove]

I would prefer a fold. Especially given his aggression. It sounds results-orientated, but you might wanna consider checking the turn, because he probably thinks that you are expecting him to call... That could on the other hand mean that he's on a very creative bluff, but he hardly comes off as a really good player...

I don't know what your point with the Pokerstove range is.

Are you bluffing or value betting?

[Sasuke]

[ QUOTE ]
Are you bluffing or value betting?

[/ QUOTE ]

Cant it be both ?

[Chaoslord]

i doubt he folds a better hand here very often.
your turn bet is bad, once u get raised its best to call down if you think hes bluffing or fold if u think hes not, but shoving is suicide.

[Sasuke]

[ QUOTE ]
i doubt he folds a better hand here very often.
your turn bet is bad, once u get raised its best to call down if you think hes bluffing or fold if u think hes not, but shoving is suicide.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok. What should I be pushing with then? QQ+ ?

[Hardgrove]

What do you think he has?

[g-p]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Are you bluffing or value betting?

[/ QUOTE ]

Cant it be both ?

[/ QUOTE ]UH OH

[KRANTZ]

w t f

[PartyGirlUK]

Ur range for him calling PF may be accurate, but to work out the EV of a shove u need his range for calling the flop then raise/call the turn......

[donkey]

sasuke is recallme 2.0