WSOP 10k highlight hand ... Antonius v Mizrachi (the other one)

[Silent A]

FT hand number 114
3 handed
Blinds 60k/120k

Approx stacks:
Seat 2 - Patrik Antonius - 1 700 000 (BB)
Seat 4 - Rene Mouritsen - 2 100 000 (button)
Seat 9 - Robert Mizrachi - 2 500 000 (SB)

Rene Mouritsen folds
Mizrachi calls
Antonius checks

Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 10[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Mizrachi checks, Antonius bets 150 000, and Mizrachi calls

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Mizrachi checks, Antonius bets 400 000, and Mizrachi calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Mizrachi bets pot, and Antonius ...

Results in white: <font color="white">
folds (after thinking 2 minutes)

Antonius shows AdQdxx
Mizrachi shows 9d852 with two diamonds

Antonius never recovers and goes out 3rd. Mizrachi goes on to win.</font>

[Ribbo]

That was a terrible call by Mizrachi on the turn. His equity with the bluff call can't have been higher than 15%
He has to commit 400,000 in chips, then bet 1,000,000 on the river just to win a pot worth 700,000 when he makes the call on the turn.

[Silent A]

Yeah, I hate the call too. Seems like a fairly obvious push/fold decision to me.

How much do you think the possibility that a J flush back-doored a boat weighed in on Antonius' river decision?

[cmyr]

not much. Looks like Mizrachi is just bad at poker, and has a set the whole way. I can't imagine that being a flat call on the turn from the J-flush... It's more or less as bad with a set.

[Kala1928]

Robert showed a 9-high flush, which against PA seems like a really tricky solid play because bluffing the river is a lot better than calling a bluff. PA folded his a-high flush.

[cmyr]

but makes calling the turn pretty awful... if he thinks PA is on a bluff (since he's either on a bluff or a high flush) then he should be c/c c/c, whereas if he thinks PA is ahead he should be folding. Maybe I'm just not brilliant enough.

[TheRempel]

It's not a tricky solid play. It's a 'oops I got to the river with this hand and suddenly I realise it's not good, time to bluff'.

[TheRempel]

Mizrachi, Cunningham, all the 'good' tourney players are bad at PLO.

[SevenSuited]

I think Mizrachi played it perfect versus PA's range (which is mostly big flush or air).

[ QUOTE ]
Seems like a fairly obvious push/fold decision to me.

[/ QUOTE ]
Pushing the turn with 9 high flush seems very bad. PA is not folding better hands, not calling with worse hands, and will almost never have a hand that can draw out.

[pete fabrizio]

I was watching this FT in person and when Mizrachi bet the river, I thought "I really like this line if he has a small flush." He can call the turn thinking he's ahead often enough with his flush and still bet the river as a bluff. He figures PA has either the nuts or air on the turn (rather than a set), so he calls probably planning to c/re-eval the river. Then when the board pairs, against that range, betting the river is perfect. If he checks, patrik will prob bet the nut flush for value, but will also prob bet his air, putting Miz in a tough spot. So by betting, not only can he potentially bluff out higher flushes, but he also prevent air hands from bluffing him out.

Overall I thought Robert played the FT very well, repeatedly owning patrik, including a nice call-down with a 2-6 straight on a 34c5cxxc board.