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#1
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Check-raise bluff on the river
Villain is a good player. Earlier in the session, he twice bet 40-50% of the pot on the river with the nuts or close to it and both times I called. After the second time he typed in the chat box "It seems that I have found the right amount".
Full Tilt Poker Pot Limit Omaha Ring game Blinds: $1/$2 6 players Converter Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Hero calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB checks. Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($8, 4 players) SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8</font>, CO calls, 2 folds. Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($24, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $24</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $58</font>, Hero calls. River: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($140, 2 players) Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets $69</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in $319.2</font> Comments ? |
#2
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Re: Check-raise bluff on the river
Villain has 300$, I have him covered
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#3
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Re: Check-raise bluff on the river
Why bother risking another $230 here? Call, you might win anyways.
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#4
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Re: Check-raise bluff on the river
Though I suppose he has a set of jacks or - if he's a tricky opponent - raised the turn when his wrap came, and hits a straight himself on the river. It's possible, but a set of jacks is ofc more likely.
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#5
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Re: Check-raise bluff on the river
The thing is I am quite sure I am beaten, either by AJ or JJ, or else by a straight (he could have raised on turn with TQK, especially if they are suited). I know that if he does not have the nuts or very close to it, I have good folding equity.
My main concern is the importance of the read, and the level of thinking I should use. He twice bet half-pot on the river with the nuts. So I should fold here. BUT he knows I know that he bets half pot on the river with monsters, because he made a comment about it a few minutes earlier. So he could be imitating his previous plays. I do not think he is tricky enough to anticipate my thinking and betting this way with the nuts in order to make me think it is a bluff because I know his betting patterns. So there are two possibilities : - he may be simply betting his hand the way he always does with the nuts. - he may be using the read he knows I have to bluff. As I am writing this, it seems that maybe calling was a better option actually. This way I can be sure of seeing his hand, and so to have a very valuable read on his level of thinking. ++ |
#6
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Re: Check-raise bluff on the river
Or he may realise you are getting fed up with him and is betting the same on the river with AJ or a set and planning on calling you. This is not the best spot for a c/r bluff given that he either beats your A9 and will call anyway or was bluffing and will fold. Call is def much better.
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