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#1
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25NL - AKo easy PF question
75/41/3 - 12 hands
Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> SB ($6.31) <font color="#C00000">BB ($26.69)</font> UTG ($77.37) MP ($23.80) CO ($11.52) Hero ($55.28) Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.25</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $7.35</font>, UTG folds, CO folds, Hero folds. Final Pot: $10.20 Just want to check this really quick with you guys |
#2
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
All-in.
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#3
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
The thing is, at worst (forgetting AA/KK) you are 50/50 to win the hand.
Becuase you have already invested $2.25 in the pot, you are priced in. You have to call unless you have a rock solid read that your opponent has AA/KK. |
#4
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
[ QUOTE ]
Becuase you have already invested $2.25 in the pot, you are priced in. You have to call unless you have a rock solid read that your opponent has AA/KK. [/ QUOTE ] Why do we need a strong read he has AA/KK? What if he has AA/KK here 25%? |
#5
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
[ QUOTE ]
All-in. [/ QUOTE ] Because of villain? or AI unless strong reads otherwise? |
#6
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] All-in. [/ QUOTE ] Because of villain? or AI unless strong reads otherwise? [/ QUOTE ] All-in because you have a great deal of equity against his entire range (virtually regardless of your reads of him), but only if you see all 5 cards. And also because you have a great deal of fold equity against many hands that have an edge against you; namely small to mid pocket pairs. |
#7
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
ok, makes sense, but lets say his range is..
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 48.059% 43.09% 04.97% 70831646 8168272.00 { AhKc } Hand 1: 51.941% 46.97% 04.97% 77212994 8168272.00 { 22+, AQs+, KQs, AQo+ } I'm assuming he is calling a shove with almost all of this range. He seems like one of those players that wants to gamble and once he puts in $7 he is not going to let go |
#8
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
so even with your calculations (no fold equity), it's still a coin flip. Since you already invested some money, you are priced in
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#9
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
[ QUOTE ]
75/41/3 - 12 hands Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> SB ($6.31) <font color="#C00000">BB ($26.69)</font> UTG ($77.37) MP ($23.80) CO ($11.52) Hero ($55.28) Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.25</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $7.35</font>, UTG folds, CO folds, Hero folds. Final Pot: $10.20 Just want to check this really quick with you guys [/ QUOTE ] Ok, well I don't think the Deuces is calling every time, but w/e. Let's use your own equity assumptions: [ QUOTE ] equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 48.059% 43.09% 04.97% 70831646 8168272.00 { AhKc } Hand 1: 51.941% 46.97% 04.97% 77212994 8168272.00 { 22+, AQs+, KQs, AQo+ } [/ QUOTE ] When the action comes back to you there is 10.10 in the pot and you have 19.34 behind. The EV of a push is: EV = (.48*29.44)-(.52*19.34) = 14.13-10.06 = +4.07 Which is a huge ammount of equity. Folding has an EV of zero by definition, so pushing is much better than folding. |
#10
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Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question
ohhhh...ok now I get it. Thanks Grunch
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