#1
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100NL: Float on Paired Board
Villain is ~24/3/1/50. I figured his range was narrow enough for this to be profitable, as I don't think he'll continue without QQ+, AK, or KQ. Since he's passive, I'm guessing he doesn't lead out with a big hand here, so I think I'm looking at AQ/JJ/TT here. Thoughts?
Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (10 handed) CO ($34.65) Button ($116.50) SB ($107.40) BB ($139.80) UTG ($88.80) UTG+1 ($57.80) UTG+2 ($43) MP1 ($437.85) Hero ($107.35) MP3 ($39.50) Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $3.50, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>. Flop: ($8.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $4</font>, Hero calls $4. Turn: ($16.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $8</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $27</font> |
#2
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
I don't like it. His range consists of premium hands and i don't think he will be able to fold it, no matter what hand you are trying to represent.
As a side note, I usually interpret half pot bets as a player looking for value. This type of player will let you draw cheaply. |
#3
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
Let it go after he comes out betting
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#4
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
can villian think? i feel with the 24 part in his stats he cant that much. i generally layout here when he dub-barrels being i dont think hes layyin out AA when we raise (tho he should).
like the idea, just dont think its the spot for it |
#5
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
I think there's a very good chance he has what you're representing.
These guys don't bet the turn with AQ or JJ. |
#6
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
Floating on flop is good, 2nd barrell is rarely a sign for weakness here. I'd let it go...
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#7
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
if you're trying to make him fold aces, it's a good move lol. if you're bluffing this turn, you have to auto shove any river.
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#8
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
Villain is ~24/3/1/50 [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I think there's a very good chance he has what you're representing. [/ QUOTE ] |
#9
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
These guys don't bet the turn with AQ or JJ [/ QUOTE ] |
#10
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Re: 100NL: Float on Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
can villian think? [/ QUOTE ] He appears to be a first-level thinker. I fold the turn if he bets $10+, but doesn't a half-pot bet on both streets seem either really weak or really strong? (And yes, if he calls the turn and checks to me on the river, I'm obviously insta-shoving.) |
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